Combat Edge Intelligence

Elias Theodorou vs Krzysztof Jotko

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-3-0Record30-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
75,5"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Kros GymTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elias TheodorouNow 1772
If they win+16→ 1788
If they lose-16→ 1756
Krzysztof JotkoNow 1769
If they win+12→ 1781
If they lose-12→ 1757

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1673 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1663 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.19
Sig. strikes / min
2.98
42%
Strike accuracy
43%
2.39
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.23
53%
Strike defense
57%
1.27
Takedown avg.
1.33
28%
Takedown accuracy
19%
59%
Takedown defense
82%
0
Submission avg.
0.07

Trajectory

Elias TheodorouKrzysztof Jotko
17502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (42%)
KO/TKO
8 (27%)
1 (5%)
Submission
2 (7%)
10 (53%)
Decision
20 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Krzysztof Jotko75%
Elias Theodorou 25%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Krzysztof Jotko a 75% favorite over Elias Theodorou in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Elias Theodorou's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1772 vs 1769), separated by just 3 points.

Elias Theodorou enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Krzysztof Jotko enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Elias Theodorou finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Krzysztof Jotko 33%.

Krzysztof Jotko carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.