Elias Theodorou vs Roger Narvaez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-3-0Record8-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'3"
75,5"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kros GymTeamFull Contact Fight Academy
What's at stake
Elias Theodorou is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Roger Narvaez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1780
If they lose-24→ 1748
If they win+24→ 1597
If they lose-8→ 1565
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1673 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Elias TheodorouRoger Narvaez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Elias Theodorou84%
Roger Narvaez 16%Elo baseline: 76%
The Combat Edge model makes Elias Theodorou a 84% favorite over Roger Narvaez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (76%).
Elias Theodorou holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1772 to 1573, a 199-point edge.
Elias Theodorou enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Roger Narvaez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Elias Theodorou finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Roger Narvaez 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.