Elias Theodorou vs Sam Alvey
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-3-0Record34-18-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'2"
75,5"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kros GymTeamTeam Quest
What's at stake
Elias Theodorou is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Sam Alvey carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1781
If they lose-22→ 1749
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-8→ 1631
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1673 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1664 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Elias TheodorouSam Alvey
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Elias Theodorou84%
Sam Alvey 16%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Elias Theodorou a 84% favorite over Sam Alvey in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Elias Theodorou holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1771 to 1639, a 132-point edge.
Elias Theodorou enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Elias Theodorou finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Sam Alvey 68%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.