Elias Theodorou vs Trevor Smith
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-3-0Record15-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'3"
75,5"Reach41,5"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kros GymTeamRing Demon Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
Elias Theodorou is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Trevor Smith carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1781
If they lose-23→ 1749
If they win+23→ 1623
If they lose-9→ 1591
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1673 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Elias TheodorouTrevor Smith
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Elias Theodorou84%
Trevor Smith 16%Elo baseline: 73%
The Combat Edge model makes Elias Theodorou a 84% favorite over Trevor Smith in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).
Elias Theodorou holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1772 to 1600, a 172-point edge.
Elias Theodorou enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Trevor Smith enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Elias Theodorou finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Trevor Smith 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.