Combat Edge Intelligence

Eliezer Kubanza vs Jefferson Nascimento

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-1-0Record13-1-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'7"
74.5"Reach71"
170 lbsWeight154 lbs
Soma Fight Club· 1633 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamRenovacao Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eliezer KubanzaNow 1673
If they win+16→ 1689
If they lose-16→ 1657
Jefferson NascimentoNow 1674
If they win+16→ 1690
If they lose-16→ 1658

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Eliezer KubanzaJefferson Nascimento
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (78%)
KO/TKO
5 (38%)
1 (11%)
Submission
3 (23%)
1 (11%)
Decision
5 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Eliezer Kubanza51%
Jefferson Nascimento 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Eliezer Kubanza a 51% favorite over Jefferson Nascimento in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jefferson Nascimento's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1673 vs 1674), separated by just 1 points.

Eliezer Kubanza enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jefferson Nascimento enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Eliezer Kubanza finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Jefferson Nascimento 62%.

Eliezer Kubanza carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.