Eliot Marshall vs Jason Brilz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-4-0Record23-6-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Grudge Training CenterTeamElite Performance
What's at stake
Jason Brilz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Eliot Marshall carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1634
If they lose-11→ 1602
If they win+9→ 1723
If they lose-15→ 1699
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1582 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1600 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Eliot MarshallJason Brilz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jason Brilz64%
Eliot Marshall 36%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Jason Brilz a 64% favorite over Eliot Marshall in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Jason Brilz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1714 to 1613, a 101-point edge.
Eliot Marshall enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Eliot Marshall finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Jason Brilz 70%.
Eliot Marshall and Jason Brilz share 2 common opponents: Vladimir Matyushenko and Vinny Magalhaes.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.