Combat Edge Intelligence

Eliot Marshall vs John Allan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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John Allan
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John Allan

“The Hunter”

18-9-0Light Heavyweight

1609Solid

Tale of the tape

10-4-0Record18-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
TBDReach75"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Grudge Training CenterTeamChute Boxe· 1678 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eliot MarshallNow 1613
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597
John AllanNow 1609
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1582 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.93
Sig. strikes / min
3.56
27%
Strike accuracy
43%
2.39
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.74
68%
Strike defense
52%
0.47
Takedown avg.
1.40
33%
Takedown accuracy
71%
79%
Takedown defense
50%
0.94
Submission avg.
0.84

Trajectory

Eliot MarshallJohn Allan
1550160016502009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
13 (72%)
5 (50%)
Submission
4 (22%)
4 (40%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

Eliot Marshall51%
John Allan 49%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Eliot Marshall a 51% favorite over John Allan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1613 vs 1609), separated by just 4 points.

Eliot Marshall enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

John Allan enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Eliot Marshall finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, John Allan 94%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.