Combat Edge Intelligence

Eliot Marshall vs Marcin Prachnio

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-4-0Record17-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
TBDReach74"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Grudge Training CenterTeamTatsujin Dojo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eliot MarshallNow 1614
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598
Marcin PrachnioNow 1611
If they win+12→ 1623
If they lose-12→ 1599

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1582 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1635 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.93
Sig. strikes / min
5.57
27%
Strike accuracy
54%
2.39
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.24
68%
Strike defense
54%
0.47
Takedown avg.
0.15
33%
Takedown accuracy
20%
79%
Takedown defense
54%
0.94
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Eliot MarshallMarcin Prachnio
1600165020092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
11 (65%)
5 (50%)
Submission
1 (6%)
4 (40%)
Decision
5 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Eliot Marshall and Marcin Prachnio within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1614 vs 1611), separated by just 3 points.

Eliot Marshall enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Marcin Prachnio enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Eliot Marshall finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Marcin Prachnio 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.