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Combat Edge Intelligence

Eliot Marshall vs Mostafa Abada Rashed Neda

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-4-0Record10-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height5'10"
TBDReach73"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Grudge Training CenterTeamMMA Jeddah Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eliot MarshallNow 1613
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597
Mostafa Abada Rashed NedaNow 1612
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1582 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.93
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
27%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.39
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
68%
Strike defense
Not available
0.47
Takedown avg.
Not available
33%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
79%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.94
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Eliot MarshallMostafa Abada Rashed Neda
16001650200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
6 (60%)
5 (50%)
Submission
2 (20%)
4 (40%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Mostafa Abada Rashed Neda59%
Eliot Marshall 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mostafa Abada Rashed Neda a 59% favorite over Eliot Marshall in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Eliot Marshall's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1613 vs 1612), separated by just 1 points.

Eliot Marshall enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Eliot Marshall finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Mostafa Abada Rashed Neda 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.