Eliot Marshall vs Vinny Magalhaes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-4-0Record19-12-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Grudge Training CenterTeamSyndicate MMA
What's at stake
Eliot Marshall is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Vinny Magalhaes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1626
If they lose-19→ 1594
If they win+19→ 1575
If they lose-13→ 1543
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1582 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Eliot MarshallVinny Magalhaes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Eliot Marshall60%
Vinny Magalhaes 40%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Eliot Marshall a 60% favorite over Vinny Magalhaes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Eliot Marshall holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1613 to 1556, a 57-point edge.
Eliot Marshall enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Vinny Magalhaes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Eliot Marshall finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Vinny Magalhaes 95%.
Eliot Marshall and Vinny Magalhaes share 1 common opponent: Jason Brilz.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.