Combat Edge Intelligence

Elise Reed vs Felice Herrig

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-5-0Record14-10-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'4"
63"Reach65"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Kickside Martial ArtsTeamTeam Curran

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elise ReedNow 1553
If they win+16→ 1569
If they lose-16→ 1537
Felice HerrigNow 1556
If they win+16→ 1572
If they lose-16→ 1540

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1597 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1624 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.41
Sig. strikes / min
3.84
53%
Strike accuracy
38%
3.26
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.19
52%
Strike defense
48%
0.46
Takedown avg.
1.08
0%
Takedown accuracy
29%
53%
Takedown defense
75%
0
Submission avg.
0.81

Trajectory

Elise ReedFelice Herrig
1550160020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
1 (7%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (29%)
6 (75%)
Decision
9 (64%)

Combat Edge model read

Elise Reed56%
Felice Herrig 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Elise Reed a 56% favorite over Felice Herrig in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Felice Herrig's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1553 vs 1556), separated by just 3 points.

Felice Herrig enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Elise Reed finishes 25% of wins inside the distance, Felice Herrig 36%.

Felice Herrig carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.