Elise Reed vs Natalie Salcedo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-6-0Record4-2-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'0"
63"Reach61"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+17→ 1555
If they lose-15→ 1523
If they win+23→ 1572
If they lose-25→ 1524
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1605 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Elise ReedNatalie Salcedo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Elise Reed53%
Natalie Salcedo 47%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Elise Reed a 53% favorite over Natalie Salcedo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Natalie Salcedo's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1538 vs 1549), separated by just 11 points.
Elise Reed enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Natalie Salcedo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Elise Reed finishes 25% of wins inside the distance, Natalie Salcedo 75%.
Elise Reed carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.