Combat Edge Intelligence

Elise Reed vs Sam Hughes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Sam Hughes
us

Sam Hughes

“Sampage”

11-7-0StrawweightUFC

1605Solid

Tale of the tape

8-5-0Record11-7-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'5"
63"Reach64"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Kickside Martial ArtsTeamFortis MMA

What's at stake

Sam Hughes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Elise Reed carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Elise ReedNow 1553
If they win+18→ 1571
If they lose-14→ 1539
Sam HughesNow 1605
If they win+14→ 1619
If they lose-18→ 1587

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1597 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1636 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.41
Sig. strikes / min
4.34
53%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.26
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.44
52%
Strike defense
59%
0.46
Takedown avg.
1.23
0%
Takedown accuracy
35%
53%
Takedown defense
61%
0
Submission avg.
0.21

Trajectory

Elise ReedSam Hughes
155016002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (36%)
6 (75%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Sam Hughes66%
Elise Reed 34%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Sam Hughes a 66% favorite over Elise Reed in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Sam Hughes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1605 to 1553, a 52-point edge.

Elise Reed finishes 25% of wins inside the distance, Sam Hughes 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.