Elise Reed vs Sam Hughes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-6-0Record11-7-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'5"
63"Reach64"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Kickside Martial ArtsTeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
Sam Hughes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Elise Reed carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1557
If they lose-13→ 1525
If they win+13→ 1619
If they lose-19→ 1587
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1605 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1641 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Elise ReedSam Hughes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sam Hughes59%
Elise Reed 41%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Sam Hughes a 59% favorite over Elise Reed in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Sam Hughes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1606 to 1538, a 68-point edge.
Elise Reed enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Elise Reed finishes 25% of wins inside the distance, Sam Hughes 55%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.