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Combat Edge Intelligence

Elisha Ellison vs Łukasz Brzeski

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

5-3-0Record9-7-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'2"
78"Reach78"
265 lbsWeight236 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elisha EllisonNow 1533
If they win+24→ 1557
If they lose-24→ 1509
Łukasz BrzeskiNow 1533
If they win+16→ 1549
If they lose-16→ 1517

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1641 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.57
Sig. strikes / min
5.02
33%
Strike accuracy
50%
15.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.68
41%
Strike defense
55%
0
Takedown avg.
0.43
0%
Takedown accuracy
33%
0%
Takedown defense
37%
0
Submission avg.
0.43

Trajectory

Elisha EllisonŁukasz Brzeski
1500155016002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (80%)
KO/TKO
5 (56%)
1 (20%)
Submission
2 (22%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Łukasz Brzeski63%
Elisha Ellison 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Łukasz Brzeski a 63% favorite over Elisha Ellison in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Elisha Ellison's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1533 vs 1533), separated by just 0 points.

Elisha Ellison enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Łukasz Brzeski enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Elisha Ellison finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Łukasz Brzeski 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.