Combat Edge Intelligence

Elisha Ellison vs Rulon Gardner

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-3-0Record1-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'4"
78"ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight264 lbs
Combat Sport & FitnessTeamTeam Quest

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elisha EllisonNow 1534
If they win+24→ 1558
If they lose-24→ 1510
Rulon GardnerNow 1532
If they win+24→ 1556
If they lose-24→ 1508

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1509 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1616 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.57
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
33%
Strike accuracy
TBD
15.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
41%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Elisha EllisonRulon Gardner
1500155016002005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (80%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
1 (20%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (100%)

Combat Edge model read

Elisha Ellison59%
Rulon Gardner 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Elisha Ellison a 59% favorite over Rulon Gardner in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1534 vs 1532), separated by just 2 points.

Elisha Ellison enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Elisha Ellison finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.