Combat Edge Intelligence

Elizeu Zaleski vs Hayato Sakurai

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-10-1Record38-13-2
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'7"
73"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight168 lbs
CM SystemTeamMach Dojo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elizeu ZaleskiNow 1699
If they win+12→ 1711
If they lose-12→ 1687
Hayato SakuraiNow 1701
If they win+12→ 1713
If they lose-12→ 1689

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1687 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1624 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.26
Sig. strikes / min
0.28
42%
Strike accuracy
42%
3.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
25.03
56%
Strike defense
59%
0.75
Takedown avg.
0
21%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
69%
Takedown defense
57%
0.45
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Elizeu ZaleskiHayato Sakurai
17001750201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

15 (60%)
KO/TKO
12 (32%)
3 (12%)
Submission
10 (26%)
7 (28%)
Decision
16 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Elizeu Zaleski64%
Hayato Sakurai 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Elizeu Zaleski a 64% favorite over Hayato Sakurai in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Hayato Sakurai's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1699 vs 1701), separated by just 2 points.

Elizeu Zaleski enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Elizeu Zaleski finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Hayato Sakurai 58%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.