Combat Edge Intelligence

Elizeu Zaleski vs Jorge Santiago

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-10-1Record25-12-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'1"
73"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
CM SystemTeamBlackzilians

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elizeu ZaleskiNow 1699
If they win+12→ 1711
If they lose-12→ 1687
Jorge SantiagoNow 1703
If they win+12→ 1715
If they lose-12→ 1691

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1687 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1641 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.26
Sig. strikes / min
1.69
42%
Strike accuracy
35%
3.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.62
56%
Strike defense
56%
0.75
Takedown avg.
0.58
21%
Takedown accuracy
30%
69%
Takedown defense
52%
0.45
Submission avg.
0.77

Trajectory

Elizeu ZaleskiJorge Santiago
17001750201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

15 (60%)
KO/TKO
10 (40%)
3 (12%)
Submission
13 (52%)
7 (28%)
Decision
2 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Elizeu Zaleski60%
Jorge Santiago 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Elizeu Zaleski a 60% favorite over Jorge Santiago in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jorge Santiago's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1699 vs 1703), separated by just 4 points.

Elizeu Zaleski enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jorge Santiago enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Elizeu Zaleski finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Jorge Santiago 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.