Combat Edge Intelligence

Elizeu Zaleski vs Max Griffin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-10-1Record20-13-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'11"
73"Reach76"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
CM System· 1629 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamMMAGOLD Fight Team

What's at stake

Elizeu Zaleski is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Max Griffin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Elizeu ZaleskiNow 1699
If they win+11→ 1710
If they lose-13→ 1686
Max GriffinNow 1669
If they win+13→ 1682
If they lose-11→ 1658

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1687 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1702 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.26
Sig. strikes / min
3.76
42%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.70
56%
Strike defense
58%
0.75
Takedown avg.
1.28
21%
Takedown accuracy
41%
69%
Takedown defense
70%
0.45
Submission avg.
0.26

Trajectory

Elizeu ZaleskiMax Griffin
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

15 (60%)
KO/TKO
9 (45%)
3 (12%)
Submission
2 (10%)
7 (28%)
Decision
9 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Elizeu Zaleski60%
Max Griffin 40%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Elizeu Zaleski a 60% favorite over Max Griffin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Elizeu Zaleski holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1699 to 1669, a 30-point edge.

Elizeu Zaleski enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Max Griffin enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Elizeu Zaleski finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Max Griffin 55%.

Elizeu Zaleski and Max Griffin share 1 common opponent: Neil Magny.

Max Griffin carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossTKO · 2025
Neil Magny
LossDecision (split) · 2022