Combat Edge Intelligence

Elizeu Zaleski vs Neil Magny

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Neil Magny
us

Neil Magny

“The Haitian Sensation”

31-14-0WelterweightUFC

1758Great

Tale of the tape

25-10-1Record31-14-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'3"
73"Reach80"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
CM SystemTeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

Neil Magny is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Elizeu Zaleski carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Elizeu ZaleskiNow 1699
If they win+14→ 1713
If they lose-10→ 1689
Neil MagnyNow 1758
If they win+10→ 1768
If they lose-14→ 1744

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1687 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1745 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.26
Sig. strikes / min
3.40
42%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.44
56%
Strike defense
52%
0.75
Takedown avg.
2.17
21%
Takedown accuracy
25%
69%
Takedown defense
55%
0.45
Submission avg.
0.27

Trajectory

Elizeu ZaleskiNeil Magny
1700175020242025

Win method breakdown

15 (60%)
KO/TKO
9 (29%)
3 (12%)
Submission
5 (16%)
7 (28%)
Decision
17 (55%)

Combat Edge model read

Neil Magny70%
Elizeu Zaleski 30%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Neil Magny a 70% favorite over Elizeu Zaleski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Neil Magny holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1758 to 1699, a 59-point edge.

Elizeu Zaleski enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Elizeu Zaleski finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Neil Magny 45%.

Neil Magny carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.