Combat Edge Intelligence

Elizeu Zaleski vs Nicolas Dalby

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Nicolas Dalby
dk

Nicolas Dalby

“Danish Dynamite”

24-6-1WelterweightUFC

1729Good

Tale of the tape

25-10-1Record24-6-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'11"
73"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
CM SystemTeamRumble Sports

What's at stake

Nicolas Dalby is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Elizeu Zaleski carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Elizeu ZaleskiNow 1699
If they win+13→ 1712
If they lose-11→ 1688
Nicolas DalbyNow 1729
If they win+11→ 1740
If they lose-13→ 1716

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1687 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1727 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.26
Sig. strikes / min
3.88
42%
Strike accuracy
44%
3.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.51
56%
Strike defense
52%
0.75
Takedown avg.
0.90
21%
Takedown accuracy
27%
69%
Takedown defense
59%
0.45
Submission avg.
0.08

Trajectory

Elizeu ZaleskiNicolas Dalby
1700175020242025

Win method breakdown

15 (60%)
KO/TKO
7 (29%)
3 (12%)
Submission
4 (17%)
7 (28%)
Decision
13 (54%)

Combat Edge model read

Nicolas Dalby60%
Elizeu Zaleski 40%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Nicolas Dalby a 60% favorite over Elizeu Zaleski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Nicolas Dalby holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1729 to 1699, a 30-point edge.

Elizeu Zaleski enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Elizeu Zaleski finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Nicolas Dalby 46%.

Elizeu Zaleski and Nicolas Dalby share 3 common opponents: Randy Brown, Rinat Fakhretdinov and Muslim Salikhov.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (3)

LossDecision - Unanimous · 2024
Randy Brown
LossKO · 2025
DrawDraw (majority) · 2023
Rinat Fakhretdinov
LossDecision - Split · 2024
LossDecision (split) · 2020
Muslim Salikhov
WinDecision - Unanimous · 2023