Combat Edge Intelligence

Elizeu Zaleski vs Omari Akhmedov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-10-1Record24-8-1
WelterweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'0"
73"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight205 lbs
CM System· 1632 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Omari Akhmedov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Elizeu Zaleski carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Elizeu ZaleskiNow 1699
If they win+13→ 1712
If they lose-11→ 1688
Omari AkhmedovNow 1715
If they win+11→ 1726
If they lose-13→ 1702

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1687 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.26
Sig. strikes / min
2.97
42%
Strike accuracy
34%
3.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.84
56%
Strike defense
56%
0.75
Takedown avg.
2.58
21%
Takedown accuracy
46%
69%
Takedown defense
66%
0.45
Submission avg.
0.25

Trajectory

Elizeu ZaleskiOmari Akhmedov
17001750202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

15 (60%)
KO/TKO
8 (33%)
3 (12%)
Submission
7 (29%)
7 (28%)
Decision
9 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Omari Akhmedov60%
Elizeu Zaleski 40%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Omari Akhmedov a 60% favorite over Elizeu Zaleski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Omari Akhmedov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1715 to 1699, a 16-point edge.

Elizeu Zaleski enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Elizeu Zaleski finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Omari Akhmedov 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.