Combat Edge Intelligence

Elizeu Zaleski vs Rinat Fakhretdinov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-10-1Record24-1-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
73"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
CM SystemTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Rinat Fakhretdinov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Elizeu Zaleski carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Elizeu ZaleskiNow 1699
If they win+16→ 1715
If they lose-8→ 1691
Rinat FakhretdinovNow 1811
If they win+11→ 1822
If they lose-21→ 1790

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1687 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.26
Sig. strikes / min
4.78
42%
Strike accuracy
53%
3.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.58
56%
Strike defense
54%
0.75
Takedown avg.
3.95
21%
Takedown accuracy
34%
69%
Takedown defense
92%
0.45
Submission avg.
0.20

Trajectory

Elizeu ZaleskiRinat Fakhretdinov
170017501800202320242025

Win method breakdown

15 (60%)
KO/TKO
12 (50%)
3 (12%)
Submission
6 (25%)
7 (28%)
Decision
6 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Rinat Fakhretdinov82%
Elizeu Zaleski 18%Elo baseline: 66%

The Combat Edge model makes Rinat Fakhretdinov a 82% favorite over Elizeu Zaleski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).

Rinat Fakhretdinov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1811 to 1699, a 112-point edge.

Elizeu Zaleski enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Rinat Fakhretdinov enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Elizeu Zaleski finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Rinat Fakhretdinov 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.