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Combat Edge Intelligence

Elizeu Zaleski vs Santiago Ponzinibbio

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

25-10-1Record30-10-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
73"Reach73″
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
CM System· 1648 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elizeu ZaleskiNow 1701
If they win+12→ 1713
If they lose-12→ 1689
Santiago PonzinibbioNow 1698
If they win+12→ 1710
If they lose-12→ 1686

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1693 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1719 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.26
Sig. strikes / min
4.78
42%
Strike accuracy
42%
3.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.68
56%
Strike defense
62%
0.75
Takedown avg.
0.60
21%
Takedown accuracy
12%
69%
Takedown defense
71%
0.45
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Elizeu ZaleskiSantiago Ponzinibbio
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

15 (60%)
KO/TKO
17 (57%)
3 (12%)
Submission
6 (20%)
7 (28%)
Decision
7 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Santiago Ponzinibbio64%
Elizeu Zaleski 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Santiago Ponzinibbio a 64% favorite over Elizeu Zaleski in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Elizeu Zaleski's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1701 vs 1698), separated by just 3 points.

Elizeu Zaleski enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Santiago Ponzinibbio enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Elizeu Zaleski finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Santiago Ponzinibbio 77%.

Elizeu Zaleski and Santiago Ponzinibbio share 1 common opponent: Muslim Salikhov.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (split) · 2020
Muslim Salikhov
LossDecision - Split · 2024