Elizeu Zaleski vs Sean Strickland
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-10-1Record31-7-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'1"
73"Reach76"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
CM System· 1648 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Sean Strickland is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Elizeu Zaleski carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1717
If they lose-8→ 1693
If they win+8→ 1832
If they lose-16→ 1808
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1693 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1744 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Elizeu ZaleskiSean Strickland
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sean Strickland77%
Elizeu Zaleski 23%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Sean Strickland a 77% favorite over Elizeu Zaleski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Sean Strickland holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1824 to 1701, a 123-point edge.
Elizeu Zaleski enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Sean Strickland enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Elizeu Zaleski finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Sean Strickland 52%.
Sean Strickland carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.