Combat Edge Intelligence

Elmar Gasanov vs Iwo Baraniewski

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-2-0Record9-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'0"
TBDReach73"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
SpartaTeamAligatores Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elmar GasanovNow 1694
If they win+16→ 1710
If they lose-16→ 1678
Iwo BaraniewskiNow 1696
If they win+16→ 1712
If they lose-16→ 1680

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1609 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
11.35
Not available
Strike accuracy
58%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.65
Not available
Strike defense
53%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
100%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Elmar GasanovIwo Baraniewski
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (25%)
KO/TKO
7 (78%)
1 (8%)
Submission
2 (22%)
8 (67%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Elmar Gasanov and Iwo Baraniewski within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1694 vs 1696), separated by just 2 points.

Elmar Gasanov finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Iwo Baraniewski 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.