Combat Edge Intelligence

Elmar Gasanov vs Muhammed Lawal

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-2-0Record21-10-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
SpartaTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elmar GasanovNow 1694
If they win+16→ 1710
If they lose-16→ 1678
Muhammed LawalNow 1694
If they win+12→ 1706
If they lose-12→ 1682

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1661 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Elmar GasanovMuhammed Lawal
1650170017502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (25%)
KO/TKO
13 (62%)
1 (8%)
Submission
0 (0%)
8 (67%)
Decision
8 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Elmar Gasanov73%
Muhammed Lawal 27%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Elmar Gasanov a 73% favorite over Muhammed Lawal in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1694 vs 1694), separated by just 0 points.

Muhammed Lawal enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Elmar Gasanov finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Muhammed Lawal 62%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.