Combat Edge Intelligence

Elmar Gasanov vs Philipe Lins

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Philipe Lins
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Philipe Lins

“Monstro”

18-6-0Light HeavyweightMVP

1683Good

Tale of the tape

12-2-0Record18-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
TBDReach78"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
SpartaTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elmar GasanovNow 1685
If they win+16→ 1701
If they lose-16→ 1669
Philipe LinsNow 1683
If they win+16→ 1699
If they lose-16→ 1667

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1665 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.80
TBD
Strike accuracy
49%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.59
TBD
Strike defense
46%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.65
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Elmar GasanovPhilipe Lins
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (25%)
KO/TKO
9 (50%)
1 (8%)
Submission
4 (22%)
8 (67%)
Decision
5 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Elmar Gasanov60%
Philipe Lins 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Elmar Gasanov a 60% favorite over Philipe Lins in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1685 vs 1683), separated by just 2 points.

Elmar Gasanov finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Philipe Lins 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.