Combat Edge Intelligence

Elmar Gasanov vs Valentin Moldavsky

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-2-0Record15-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
TBDReach75"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
SpartaTeamFedorTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elmar GasanovNow 1694
If they win+16→ 1710
If they lose-16→ 1678
Valentin MoldavskyNow 1693
If they win+16→ 1709
If they lose-16→ 1677

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1675 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Elmar GasanovValentin Moldavsky
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (25%)
KO/TKO
2 (13%)
1 (8%)
Submission
3 (20%)
8 (67%)
Decision
10 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Elmar Gasanov and Valentin Moldavsky within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1694 vs 1693), separated by just 1 points.

Elmar Gasanov finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Valentin Moldavsky 33%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.