Combat Edge Intelligence

Elmar Gasanov vs Will Fleury

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-2-0Record17-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
TBDReach77"
205 lbsWeight238 lbs
SpartaTeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elmar GasanovNow 1694
If they win+16→ 1710
If they lose-16→ 1678
Will FleuryNow 1692
If they win+16→ 1708
If they lose-16→ 1676

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1607 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Elmar GasanovWill Fleury
1650170020252026

Win method breakdown

3 (25%)
KO/TKO
5 (29%)
1 (8%)
Submission
4 (24%)
8 (67%)
Decision
8 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Elmar Gasanov53%
Will Fleury 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Elmar Gasanov a 53% favorite over Will Fleury in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1694 vs 1692), separated by just 2 points.

Elmar Gasanov finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Will Fleury 53%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.