Combat Edge Intelligence

Elsa Cerezo vs Izabela Badurek

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

1-0-0Record8-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'4"
-ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Kabeza TeamTeamWCA Fight Team· 1652 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elsa CerezoNow 1530
If they win+24→ 1554
If they lose-24→ 1506
Izabela BadurekNow 1523
If they win+16→ 1539
If they lose-16→ 1507

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1509 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.74
TBD
Strike accuracy
71%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.90
TBD
Strike defense
32%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.75
TBD
Takedown accuracy
13%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Elsa CerezoIzabela Badurek
155020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (100%)
KO/TKO
2 (25%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (63%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Elsa Cerezo62%
Izabela Badurek 38%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Elsa Cerezo a 62% favorite over Izabela Badurek in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1530 vs 1523), separated by just 7 points.

Izabela Badurek 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.