Elsa Cerezo vs Jaimelene Nievera
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-0-0Record7-5-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'5"
-ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Kabeza TeamTeamDragon House MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1554
If they lose-24→ 1506
If they win+16→ 1553
If they lose-16→ 1521
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1509 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Elsa CerezoJaimelene Nievera
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Elsa Cerezo66%
Jaimelene Nievera 34%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Elsa Cerezo a 66% favorite over Jaimelene Nievera in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jaimelene Nievera's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1530 vs 1537), separated by just 7 points.
Jaimelene Nievera enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jaimelene Nievera 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.