Elsa Cerezo vs Lauren Mueller
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-0-0Record5-4-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'5"
-Reach38,0"
125 lbsWeight136 lbs
Kabeza TeamTeamAlliance MMA· 1633 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+23→ 1553
If they lose-25→ 1505
If they win+25→ 1546
If they lose-23→ 1498
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1509 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Elsa CerezoLauren Mueller
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Elsa Cerezo60%
Lauren Mueller 40%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Elsa Cerezo a 60% favorite over Lauren Mueller in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1530 vs 1521), separated by just 9 points.
Lauren Mueller enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Lauren Mueller 20%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.