Combat Edge Intelligence

Elsa Cerezo vs Mara Romero Borella

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

1-0-0Record12-9-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'6"
-Reach38,0"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Kabeza TeamTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elsa CerezoNow 1530
If they win+24→ 1554
If they lose-24→ 1506
Mara Romero BorellaNow 1531
If they win+16→ 1547
If they lose-16→ 1515

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1509 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.54
TBD
Strike accuracy
38%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.48
TBD
Strike defense
71%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.83
TBD
Takedown accuracy
44%
TBD
Takedown defense
67%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.23

Trajectory

Elsa CerezoMara Romero Borella
15501600201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (100%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (33%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Elsa Cerezo70%
Mara Romero Borella 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Elsa Cerezo a 70% favorite over Mara Romero Borella in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mara Romero Borella's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1530 vs 1531), separated by just 1 points.

Mara Romero Borella enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Mara Romero Borella 58%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.