Combat Edge Intelligence

Elsa Cerezo vs Melinda Fabian

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

1-0-0Record5-4-2
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'6"
-Reach37,0"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Kabeza TeamTeamBudapest Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elsa CerezoNow 1530
If they win+23→ 1553
If they lose-25→ 1505
Melinda FabianNow 1520
If they win+16→ 1536
If they lose-16→ 1504

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1509 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.03
TBD
Strike accuracy
42%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4
TBD
Strike defense
63%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Elsa CerezoMelinda Fabian
150015502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (100%)
KO/TKO
1 (20%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (80%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Elsa Cerezo63%
Melinda Fabian 37%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Elsa Cerezo a 63% favorite over Melinda Fabian in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1530 vs 1520), separated by just 10 points.

Melinda Fabian 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.