Elvis Mutapcic vs Francimar Barroso
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-6-1Record26-7-1
MiddleweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'1"
42,0"Reach75.00
185 lbsWeight262 lbs
RoundKick GymTeamGOR MMA· 1706 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Elvis Mutapcic is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Francimar Barroso carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1629
If they lose-17→ 1597
If they win+17→ 1609
If they lose-15→ 1577
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1567 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Elvis MutapcicFrancimar Barroso
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Elvis Mutapcic55%
Francimar Barroso 45%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Elvis Mutapcic a 55% favorite over Francimar Barroso in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Elvis Mutapcic holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1614 to 1592, a 22-point edge.
Francimar Barroso enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Elvis Mutapcic finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Francimar Barroso 65%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.