Combat Edge Intelligence

Elvis Mutapcic vs Francimar Barroso

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-6-1Record26-7-1
MiddleweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'1"
42,0"Reach75.00
185 lbsWeight262 lbs
RoundKick GymTeamGOR MMA· 1738 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

Elvis Mutapcic is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Francimar Barroso carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Elvis MutapcicNow 1613
If they win+15→ 1628
If they lose-17→ 1596
Francimar BarrosoNow 1592
If they win+17→ 1609
If they lose-15→ 1577

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.41
Sig. strikes / min
2.77
41%
Strike accuracy
53%
4.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.07
39%
Strike defense
59%
0
Takedown avg.
2.22
TBD
Takedown accuracy
24%
81%
Takedown defense
83%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Elvis MutapcicFrancimar Barroso
15001550160020172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

7 (44%)
KO/TKO
12 (46%)
6 (38%)
Submission
5 (19%)
3 (19%)
Decision
9 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Elvis Mutapcic and Francimar Barroso within a point of even.

Elvis Mutapcic holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1613 to 1592, a 21-point edge.

Francimar Barroso enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Elvis Mutapcic finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Francimar Barroso 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.