Combat Edge Intelligence

Elvis Mutapcic vs Joseph Luciano

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-6-1Record10-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
42,0"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
RoundKick GymTeamAbsolute MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elvis MutapcicNow 1612
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596
Joseph LucianoNow 1612
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.41
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
41%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
39%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
81%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Elvis MutapcicJoseph Luciano
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (44%)
KO/TKO
1 (10%)
6 (38%)
Submission
6 (60%)
3 (19%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Joseph Luciano63%
Elvis Mutapcic 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Joseph Luciano a 63% favorite over Elvis Mutapcic in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Elvis Mutapcic's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1612), separated by just 0 points.

Elvis Mutapcic finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Joseph Luciano 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.