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Combat Edge Intelligence

Elvis Silva vs Estevan Payan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Elvis Silva
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Elvis Silva

“Karate Kid”

15-10-0BantamweightLFA

1526Average
Estevan Payan
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Estevan Payan

“El Terrible”

17-14-0LightweightPFC

1525Average

Tale of the tape

15-10-0Record17-14-0
BantamweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
136 lbsWeight148 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elvis SilvaNow 1526
If they win+16→ 1542
If they lose-16→ 1510
Estevan PayanNow 1525
If they win+12→ 1537
If they lose-12→ 1513

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
4.25
Not available
Strike accuracy
43%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.58
Not available
Strike defense
58%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.36
Not available
Takedown accuracy
100%
Not available
Takedown defense
60%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.36

Trajectory

Elvis SilvaEstevan Payan
155020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
7 (41%)
1 (7%)
Submission
3 (18%)
10 (67%)
Decision
7 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Elvis Silva and Estevan Payan within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1526 vs 1525), separated by just 1 points.

Elvis Silva enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Estevan Payan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Elvis Silva finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Estevan Payan 59%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.