Elvis Sinosic vs Evan Tanner
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-11-2Record32-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
199 lbsWeight185 lbs
TBDTeamHard Knocks Kickboxing
What's at stake
Evan Tanner is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Elvis Sinosic carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+24→ 1499
If they lose-8→ 1467
If they win+6→ 1658
If they lose-18→ 1634
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1617 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Elvis SinosicEvan Tanner
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Evan Tanner78%
Elvis Sinosic 22%Elo baseline: 73%
The Combat Edge model makes Evan Tanner a 78% favorite over Elvis Sinosic in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).
Evan Tanner holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1652 to 1475, a 177-point edge.
Elvis Sinosic enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Elvis Sinosic finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Evan Tanner 91%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.