Elvis Sinosic vs Renato Sobral
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-11-2Record37-12-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
199 lbsWeight205 lbs
TBDTeamBabalu's Iron Gym
What's at stake
Renato Sobral is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Elvis Sinosic carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1500
If they lose-7→ 1468
If they win+5→ 1692
If they lose-19→ 1668
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Elvis SinosicRenato Sobral
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Renato Sobral83%
Elvis Sinosic 17%Elo baseline: 77%
The Combat Edge model makes Renato Sobral a 83% favorite over Elvis Sinosic in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (77%).
Renato Sobral holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1687 to 1475, a 212-point edge.
Elvis Sinosic enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Renato Sobral enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Elvis Sinosic finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Renato Sobral 65%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.