Emanuel Arzola vs TJ Brown
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-0-0Record20-12-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
-Reach72"
145 lbsWeight156 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1626
If they lose-24→ 1578
If they win+12→ 1614
If they lose-12→ 1590
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1523 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1610 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Emanuel ArzolaTJ Brown
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Emanuel Arzola54%
TJ Brown 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Emanuel Arzola a 54% favorite over TJ Brown in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1602 vs 1602), separated by just 0 points.
Emanuel Arzola enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Emanuel Arzola finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, TJ Brown 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.