Emerson Richard vs Hector Aldana
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-6-0Record5-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
-Reach40,5"
176 lbsWeight170 lbs
FTBHTeamTorture Athletics
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1561
If they lose-16→ 1529
If they win+24→ 1569
If they lose-24→ 1521
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1517 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Emerson RichardHector Aldana
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Emerson Richard51%
Hector Aldana 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Emerson Richard a 51% favorite over Hector Aldana in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1545 vs 1545), separated by just 0 points.
Emerson Richard enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Emerson Richard finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Hector Aldana 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.