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Combat Edge Intelligence

Emerson Richard vs Rousimar Palhares

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-6-0Record19-13-1
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'8"
-ReachTBD
176 lbsWeight170 lbs
FTBHTeamTeam Nogueira· 1598 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Emerson RichardNow 1545
If they win+16→ 1561
If they lose-16→ 1529
Rousimar PalharesNow 1545
If they win+12→ 1557
If they lose-12→ 1533

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1517 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
1.75
Not available
Strike accuracy
52%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.04
Not available
Strike defense
60%
Not available
Takedown avg.
3.93
Not available
Takedown accuracy
46%
Not available
Takedown defense
0%
Not available
Submission avg.
4.11

Trajectory

Emerson RichardRousimar Palhares
15502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (88%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
1 (13%)
Submission
16 (84%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (16%)

Combat Edge model read

Emerson Richard54%
Rousimar Palhares 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Emerson Richard a 54% favorite over Rousimar Palhares in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1545 vs 1545), separated by just 0 points.

Emerson Richard enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Rousimar Palhares enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Emerson Richard finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Rousimar Palhares 84%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.