Emil Meek vs Jake Matthews
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
10-6-0Record23-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'11"
74,5"Reach73"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamNexus
What's at stake
Jake Matthews is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Emil Meek carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1627
If they lose-10→ 1595
If they win+7→ 1758
If they lose-17→ 1734
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1602 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1698 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Emil MeekJake Matthews
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jake Matthews92%
Emil Meek 8%Elo baseline: 70%
The Combat Edge model makes Jake Matthews a 92% favorite over Emil Meek in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).
Jake Matthews holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1751 to 1605, a 146-point edge.
Emil Meek finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Jake Matthews 61%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.