Emil Meek vs Kamaru Usman
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-6-0Record21-4-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'0"
74,5"Reach76"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Kamaru Usman is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Emil Meek carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1631
If they lose-7→ 1599
If they win+5→ 1827
If they lose-19→ 1803
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1604 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1799 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Emil MeekKamaru Usman
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kamaru Usman79%
Emil Meek 21%Elo baseline: 78%
The Combat Edge model makes Kamaru Usman a 79% favorite over Emil Meek in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (78%).
Kamaru Usman holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1822 to 1606, a 216-point edge.
Emil Meek finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Kamaru Usman 48%.
Kamaru Usman carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.