Emil Meek vs T.J. Schaefer
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-6-0Record4-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'8"
74,5"Reach-
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamAmerican Top Team - Team Lima
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1624
If they lose-16→ 1592
If they win+24→ 1630
If they lose-24→ 1582
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Emil MeekT.J. Schaefer
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
T.J. Schaefer51%
Emil Meek 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes T.J. Schaefer a 51% favorite over Emil Meek in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Emil Meek's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1608 vs 1606), separated by just 2 points.
T.J. Schaefer enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Emil Meek finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, T.J. Schaefer 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.