Combat Edge Intelligence

Emiliano Sordi vs Kestutis Smirnovas

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

27-14-1Record24-8-2
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height5'10"
77"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight198 lbs
Nova Uniao ArgentinaTeamAudra Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Emiliano SordiNow 1630
If they win+12→ 1642
If they lose-12→ 1618
Kestutis SmirnovasNow 1631
If they win+12→ 1643
If they lose-12→ 1619

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1605 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.79
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
51%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
48%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
TBD
8.28
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Emiliano SordiKestutis Smirnovas
160016502014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

18 (67%)
KO/TKO
3 (13%)
7 (26%)
Submission
14 (61%)
2 (7%)
Decision
6 (26%)

Combat Edge model read

Emiliano Sordi66%
Kestutis Smirnovas 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Emiliano Sordi a 66% favorite over Kestutis Smirnovas in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kestutis Smirnovas's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1630 vs 1631), separated by just 1 points.

Emiliano Sordi finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Kestutis Smirnovas 74%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.