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Combat Edge Intelligence

Emiliano Sordi vs Kestutis Smirnovas

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

27-14-1Record24-8-2
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height5'10"
77"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight198 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Emiliano SordiNow 1630
If they win+12→ 1642
If they lose-12→ 1618
Kestutis SmirnovasNow 1631
If they win+12→ 1643
If they lose-12→ 1619

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1604 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.79
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
51%
Strike accuracy
Not available
4.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
48%
Strike defense
Not available
0
Takedown avg.
Not available
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
100%
Takedown defense
Not available
8.28
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Emiliano SordiKestutis Smirnovas
160016502014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

18 (67%)
KO/TKO
3 (13%)
7 (26%)
Submission
14 (61%)
2 (7%)
Decision
6 (26%)

Combat Edge model read

Emiliano Sordi71%
Kestutis Smirnovas 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Emiliano Sordi a 71% favorite over Kestutis Smirnovas in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kestutis Smirnovas's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1630 vs 1631), separated by just 1 points.

Emiliano Sordi finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Kestutis Smirnovas 74%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.