Emiliano Sordi vs Rafael Cavalcante
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
27-14-1Record13-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
77"Reach41,0"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Nova Uniao ArgentinaTeamTeam Nogueira· 1582 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1642
If they lose-12→ 1618
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1605 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1637 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Emiliano SordiRafael Cavalcante
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Emiliano Sordi66%
Rafael Cavalcante 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Emiliano Sordi a 66% favorite over Rafael Cavalcante in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rafael Cavalcante's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1630 vs 1631), separated by just 1 points.
Emiliano Sordi finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Rafael Cavalcante 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.