Emilio Cuellar vs Jordan Molinari
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-4-0Record4-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'4"
TBDReach-
125 lbsWeight126 lbs
Centro de Artes Marciales MixtasTeamNext Generation MMA Liverpool
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1577
If they lose-16→ 1545
If they win+24→ 1578
If they lose-24→ 1530
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1496 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Emilio CuellarJordan Molinari
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jordan Molinari60%
Emilio Cuellar 40%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Jordan Molinari a 60% favorite over Emilio Cuellar in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Emilio Cuellar's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1561 vs 1554), separated by just 7 points.
Jordan Molinari enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Emilio Cuellar finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Jordan Molinari 0%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.