Combat Edge Intelligence

Emily Ducote vs Nicolle Caliari

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

15-9-0Record9-4-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'2"Height5'3"
35,0"Reach 62"
116 lbsWeight116 lbs
American Top Team OKCTeamThai Brasil

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Emily DucoteNow 1597
If they win+12→ 1609
If they lose-12→ 1585
Nicolle CaliariNow 1594
If they win+16→ 1610
If they lose-16→ 1578

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.45
Sig. strikes / min
3.46
52%
Strike accuracy
38%
7.84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.01
58%
Strike defense
54%
0.20
Takedown avg.
2.88
14%
Takedown accuracy
24%
94%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0.96

Trajectory

Emily DucoteNicolle Caliari
155016002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
5 (56%)
5 (33%)
Submission
4 (44%)
6 (40%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Emily Ducote and Nicolle Caliari within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1597 vs 1594), separated by just 3 points.

Emily Ducote enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Emily Ducote finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Nicolle Caliari 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.