Combat Edge Intelligence

Emily Ducote vs Vanessa Demopoulos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-9-0Record11-8-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'2"Height5'2"
35,0"Reach 59"
116 lbsWeight115 lbs
American Top Team OKCTeamFactory X

What's at stake

Emily Ducote is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Vanessa Demopoulos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Emily DucoteNow 1597
If they win+11→ 1608
If they lose-13→ 1584
Vanessa DemopoulosNow 1577
If they win+17→ 1594
If they lose-15→ 1562

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.45
Sig. strikes / min
3.49
52%
Strike accuracy
41%
7.84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.23
58%
Strike defense
42%
0.20
Takedown avg.
0.36
14%
Takedown accuracy
12%
94%
Takedown defense
25%
0
Submission avg.
0.48

Trajectory

Emily DucoteVanessa Demopoulos
15501600202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
1 (9%)
5 (33%)
Submission
4 (36%)
6 (40%)
Decision
6 (55%)

Combat Edge model read

Emily Ducote57%
Vanessa Demopoulos 43%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Emily Ducote a 57% favorite over Vanessa Demopoulos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Emily Ducote holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1597 to 1577, a 20-point edge.

Emily Ducote enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Vanessa Demopoulos enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Emily Ducote finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Vanessa Demopoulos 45%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.